CDC justification for new masking rules is total trash

 Thank you Instapundit

The CDC's study says

In July 2021, following multiple large public events in a Barnstable County, Massachusetts, town, 469 COVID-19 cases were identified among Massachusetts residents who had traveled to the town during July 3–17; 346 (74%) occurred in fully vaccinated persons. Testing identified the Delta variant in 90% of specimens from 133 patients. Cycle threshold values were similar among specimens from patients who were fully vaccinated and those who were not.

So, let's lay some groundwork (thank you Twitchy):

  • Town population less than 3,000
  • County population about 220,000
  • 40,000 people show up for "Bear Week", a week of gay celebration for people, many of who just spent the week before "Pride partying" in NYC
  • One of the more popular bars "resembles a kind of dank dungeon where sweat drips from the ceiling and mold reaches up the walls"
  • A large number of the people there are going for the sex.  Note: gay men having sex do a fair amount of kissing, which is really helpful for viral transmission
  • That being said, the total population there that week was nowhere near 85% male
So, what did the CDC find?

  • 469 cases of COVID-19
  • Approximately three quarters (346; 74%) of cases occurred in fully vaccinated persons
  • 90% of the cases were Delta
  • 274 (79%) vaccinated patients with breakthrough infection were symptomatic.
  • 5 COVID-19 patients were hospitalized, 4 were fully vaccinated; no deaths were reported
  • RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values in specimens from 127 vaccinated persons with breakthrough cases were median = 22.77 
  • RT-PCR Ct values in specimens from 84 persons who were unvaccinated, not fully vaccinated, or whose vaccination status was unknown were 21.54
  • Among the 469 cases in Massachusetts residents, 346 (74%) occurred in persons who were fully vaccinated; of these, 301 (87%) were male, with a median age of 42 years
What can we conclude from this?
  1. Viral load in fully vaccinated was less than 1/2 that of the rest (Each PCR round doubles the DNA)
  2. The vast majority of the cases were in gay men who were there to party hard
  3. This tells us nothing about normal Covid transmission

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